The Promise Tracker
What was promised. What happened.
Twelve commitments that defined the 2025 campaign, stamped against the record. Every stamp links to the arguments behind it.
kept
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“Eliminate the consumer carbon tax”
Signed into effect April 1, 2025. Industrial carbon pricing was maintained.
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“Large-scale clean energy and trade-enabling infrastructure”
Churchill Falls and Gull Island expansion package announced August 2026.
broken
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“Fiscal responsibility and "tough choices" to balance the books”
The 2025–26 fiscal year closed with a $55.28 billion deficit; $16.4 billion in the first quarter of 2026 alone.
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“The "most ambitious housing plan since the Second World War"”
Housing starts down 19% year-over-year in July 2026; 67% of Canadians say the government has failed on housing.
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“A stronger, stabilized trade relationship with the United States”
Negotiations collapsed in August 2026; sweeping U.S. tariffs followed.
No. 03 — A Border DividedNo. 30 — The Washington Miscalculation
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“Maintain international assistance levels”
Budget 2025 cut foreign aid by $2.7 billion over four years.
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“Build a stronger Canadian health care system, including pharmacare”
Budget 2025 embedded cuts to federal health agencies; no long-term pharmacare framework.
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“Tax relief for the middle class”
Capital gains inclusion hike cancelled; Digital Services Tax rescinded — relief skewed to corporations and wealthy investors.
No. 19 — The Digital Services Tax CapitulationNo. 20 — The Capital Gains Rollback
in progress
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“A "dollar-for-dollar" retaliatory response to U.S. tariffs”
Pledged after the August 2026 collapse; retaliation measures announced in stages.
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“Fortify Arctic sovereignty and Northern defence”
$40 billion Northern defence plan launched; consultation with Indigenous communities contested.
rolled back
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“Maintain the oil and gas emissions cap”
Committed early 2025; "depends" by October 2025; abandoned June 2026 as "not sustainable."
abandoned
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“Electoral reform”
Declared "not a priority" once in office; first-past-the-post retained.
Statuses are our editorial reading of the public record; last reviewed August 24, 2026. The underlying facts are cited in the evidence.