Elbows Out

The Arguments · 2025–2026

34 arguments, on the record.

Each argument takes one promise or policy, lays out what happened, and closes with the point. They read in order, or by subject.

Economy & Affordability

  1. 01

    The Fiscal Illusion: How a Former Central Banker Embraced a $55 Billion Deficit

    When Mark Carney sought the prime ministership in 2025, his most potent political asset was his resume. As a former Governor of both the Bank of Canada and the Bank of England, he projected an aura of unimpeachable…

  2. 16

    The Carbon Tax Shell Game: Why the Cost Still Flows Downhill

    Fulfilling a core campaign promise, Carney eliminated the federal consumer carbon tax on gasoline and home heating in early 2025. Crucially, however, he maintained the industrial carbon pricing framework. While…

  3. 18

    The Six-Month Band-Aid: The Fuel Tax Suspension and Long-Term Failure

    Facing abysmal polling on affordability and relentless attacks over the cost of living, the Carney government panicked in early 2026. The result was a temporary suspension of the federal fuel excise tax, lasting only…

  4. 20

    The Capital Gains Rollback: A Loophole for the Elite

    One of Mark Carney’s first major economic moves upon taking office was to cancel a proposed 2024 budget measure that would have increased the capital gains inclusion rate from 50% to 66.67%. Unsurprisingly, Bay…

  5. 24

    The “Canada Strong Fund” Mirage

    To cement his legacy as a “nation-builder,” Carney launched the $51 billion “Build Community Strong Fund” in his 2025 budget.

  6. 26

    The Generational Imbalance: Ballooning OAS Spending

    While the Carney administration nickel-and-dimes youth programs and affordable housing initiatives, it has allowed Old Age Security (OAS) spending to explode—projected to reach a staggering $88.8 billion in 2026–27.

  7. 32

    Industrial Friction: Joly’s Mishandling of the Auto Sector

    As Minister of Industry, Mélanie Joly is the architect of the Carney administration’s domestic economic strategy. A core component of that strategy requires navigating the transition of Canada’s automotive…

  8. 33

    The 15-Month Squeeze: When Food Prices Outpace the Economy

    Throughout Mark Carney’s tenure, a glaring economic disparity has emerged: the cost of keeping a family fed has completely decoupled from broader economic metrics. For 15 consecutive months in 2025 and 2026, food…

  9. 34

    The Rebate Band-Aid: The Groceries and Essentials Benefit

    In January 2026, facing plummeting poll numbers over the cost of living, the Carney government introduced the “Canada Groceries and Essentials Benefit.” Designed as a targeted tax credit, the initiative provided…

Housing

  1. 02

    The Broken Blueprint: Why the “WWII-Style” Housing Boom is Shrinking

    During the 2025 election, no promise was bolder than Carney’s pledge to deliver “the most ambitious housing plan since the Second World War.” His government vowed to double the pace of residential construction,…

Trade & Foreign Affairs

  1. 03

    A Border Divided: The Pragmatist Who Walked into a Trade War

    Mark Carney campaigned as a steady hand who would bring pragmatic diplomacy to Canada’s most vital economic relationship: the United States. He promised to stabilize cross-border trade and protect Canadian industry…

  2. 10

    The $2.7 Billion Betrayal: Abandoning the Global Stage

    In the lead-up to the 2025 election, the Liberal platform explicitly promised not to cut foreign aid, appealing to Canadians who take pride in the nation’s historic role as a global humanitarian leader. Yet, Budget…

  3. 19

    The Digital Services Tax Capitulation

    In a desperate bid to smooth over relations with Washington, Prime Minister Carney made a stunning concession in June 2025: he abruptly rescinded the Digital Services Tax (DST). The DST was designed to ensure Silicon…

  4. 21

    The Supply Management Standoff: Consumers Foot the Bill

    Throughout the volatile trade negotiations of 2025 and 2026, Carney repeatedly declared that Canada’s supply management system for dairy and poultry was “not on the table.” While this won him political points in…

  5. 30

    The Washington Miscalculation: Blanchard’s Trade Collapse

    As Mark Carney’s Chief of Staff, Marc-André Blanchard is the most powerful unelected official in Ottawa. Throughout 2026, Blanchard took a lead, hands-on role in orchestrating the administration’s strategy for the…

  6. 31

    Diplomatic Silence: Anand’s Human Rights and Interference Controversies

    Anita Anand, elevated to Minister of Foreign Affairs, was expected to be a steady, principled voice for Canada on the world stage. Instead, the summer of 2026 saw her portfolio tarnished by allegations of domestic…

Healthcare

  1. 04

    Healing Delayed: The Quiet Betrayal of the Healthcare System

    Canadians went to the polls in 2025 deeply anxious about a healthcare system in crisis. Plagued by overcrowded emergency rooms and a severe shortage of family doctors, voters were looking for a savior. Carney…

Climate & Energy

  1. 05

    From Cap to Collapse: The Deliberate Dismantling of Climate Policy

    The Carney administration’s approach to the environment is where its rhetoric has diverged most violently from its record. While he fulfilled his campaign promise to repeal the consumer carbon tax (leaving industrial…

  2. 11

    The Nuclear Pivot: Corporate Influence in Energy Policy

    To meet rising energy demands, the Carney administration heavily promoted a “high-production strategy” centered on nuclear energy. However, his aggressive championing of the sector invited severe scrutiny. During a…

  3. 12

    Surrendering to the Auto Lobby: The Death of the EV Mandate

    In early 2026, the Carney government abruptly scrapped the Electric Vehicle (EV) Availability Standard, which had mandated that 20% of new vehicle sales be electric by 2026. The administration claimed the rollback…

Ethics & Democracy

  1. 06

    The Brookfield Blind Spot: A Prime Minister Tangled in Corporate Ties

    When Mark Carney assumed office in March 2025, he brought with him a staggering resume, but also a web of corporate entanglements—most notably his former role as board chair of Brookfield Asset Management. To appease…

  2. 09

    The Public Service Purge: Austerity Masquerading as Efficiency

    During his campaign, Mark Carney promised to institute a “cap” on the federal public service, framing it as a prudent measure to halt bureaucratic bloat. However, in November 2025, his government announced a plan to…

  3. 17

    The Transparency Deficit: Shielding Trade and Procurement

    Throughout the volatile trade negotiations of 2026 and the establishment of the Defence Investment Agency, the Carney administration has faced consistent pushback regarding secrecy. Opposition parties have…

  4. 25

    The Abandonment of Electoral Reform

    Like his predecessor, Mark Carney flirted with the progressive wing of his party during the leadership race. But once in power, he officially stated that electoral reform was “not a priority,” effectively killing any…

  5. 27

    Federal-Provincial Pandering

    In an effort to contrast himself with Justin Trudeau, Carney extended aggressive “olive branches” to conservative Prairie premiers in Alberta and Saskatchewan.

  6. 29

    The $90 Billion Blind Spot: Champagne’s Conflict of Interest

    Finance Minister François-Philippe Champagne is tasked with managing Canada’s massive federal budget, a role that demands unimpeachable ethical boundaries. Yet, in early 2026, he found himself mired in a glaring…

Immigration & Reconciliation

  1. 07

    The Regularization Reversal: Turning Away from Vulnerable Migrants

    For years, progressive advocacy groups, including the Migrant Rights Network, lobbied for a comprehensive regularization program that would grant legal status to undocumented and non-status migrants living and…

  2. 08

    Extraction Over Equity: The Friction in Indigenous Reconciliation

    Upon taking office, Prime Minister Carney declared Indigenous reconciliation a “generational task.” However, his administration’s approach to the file has heavily reflected his private-sector background, prioritizing…

  3. 23

    The International Student Shock: Defunding Universities by Proxy

    Attempting to look “tough” on immigration and housing demand, the Carney administration announced a brutal 49% cut to international study permit targets for 2026.

Defence & the North

  1. 13

    Keynesian Militarism: The $63 Billion Defense Paradox

    In March 2026, Carney triumphantly announced that Canada had reached NATO’s 2% of GDP defense spending target, authorizing a historic $63 billion in military expenditures for the fiscal year. The administration…

  2. 14

    The Arctic Blank Check: Militarization Without Meaningful Consultation

    A cornerstone of Carney’s national security agenda is the $40 billion plan to defend Canada’s North, which includes building new Forward Operating Locations and Arctic infrastructure. However, Northern and Indigenous…

Culture & Society

  1. 15

    The “Canada Strong Pass”: Pandering to Youth While Ignoring Their Future

    In the summer of 2026, the government rolled out the “Canada Strong Pass,” giving youth under 18 free access to national museums, galleries, and VIA Rail travel. The administration touted it as a major win for young…

  2. 22

    Media Monopolies: The CBC Funding Controversy

    Despite preaching government austerity, Prime Minister Carney quickly injected $150 million into the CBC/Radio-Canada shortly after taking office, with long-term goals to potentially double its budget.

  3. 28

    The Gun Control Distraction

    Carney continued the massive, expensive federal buyback program targeting assault-style firearms. However, advocacy groups like the National Association of Women and the Law criticized the government for delaying…